A-Rod tries again for No. 600 vs. Jays
Baseball Betting Lines
08/03/2010 -
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Will tonight be the night?
Alex Rodriguez's quest to become the youngest player to 600 home runs
continues this evening when the New York Yankees resume a three-game set with
the Toronto Blue Jays at Yankee Stadium.
Rodriguez has gone 43 at-bats and 48 plate appearances since hitting No. 599
back on July 22 in the Bronx. Once Rodriguez finally reaches the milestone, he
should easily become the youngest player to do so. Babe Ruth hit his 600th at
age 36, while Rodriguez turned 35 just last week.
"It's gonna happen. You just want him to continue to try to have good at-bats
and try not to think about it too much," said Yankees manager Joe Girardi.
"But it's easy to say, 'Don't think about it.' But he's asked about it every
day, and there's flashbulbs going off every time he goes up; change the balls.
So I don't know how you don't think about it."
Ruth may have reached the plateau quicker, hitting No. 600 in his 6,921st at-
bat, but Rodriguez's pace (8,684 at-bats entering play Monday) trails only
that of Barry Bonds (8,212) and eclipses Willie Mays (9,514) and Henry Aaron
(10,009).
However, his amount of at-bats between home runs is the longest drought
between homers 599 and 600 of the six other members in the club.
"I only have 16 home runs," Rodriguez said. "Its not like I had 30 and
stopped. I haven't hit the home run as often this year. For me, its about
productivity and putting good at-bats and finishing at-bats. I thought I swung
the bat a little better today."
The Yankees lost sole possession of first place in the American League East on
Monday, as Vernon Wells doubled, homered and drove in two runs, helping
Toronto to an 8-6 win.
Rodriguez was 0-for-5 in the loss.
The Blue Jays scored seven runs in the fifth inning off Yankees starter A.J.
Burnett (9-9) before New York chipped away at its deficit. The Yankees had
chances to potentially draw even, but the Toronto bullpen held on, making a
winner of Brandon Morrow (8-6). The Blue Jays starter allowed five runs in 5
1/3 innings, and struck out nine.
"I wasn't in trouble too much, just a couple pitches I left up and out, and
they put them over the fence," said Morrow, who gave up two home runs among
his seven hits allowed.
Edwin Encarnacion also homered for Toronto, which snapped a two-game slide.
Nick Swisher homered twice and Mark Teixeira added a two-run shot, but the
Yankees lost their second in a row and fell into a tie with Tampa Bay for
first place in the division. The Rays beat Minnesota on Monday.
Heading to the hill for the Jays this evening will be lefty Ricky Romero, who
is 8-7 with a 3.46 ERA. Romero beat the Baltimore Orioles on Tuesday, as he
allowed two runs and nine hits in 7 2/3 innings.
Romero has faced the Yankees five times in his young career and is 1-2 against
them with a 6.91 ERA.
New York, meanwhile, will hand the ball to Dustin Moseley, who will be making
his second start in place of the injured Andy Pettitte. Moseley beat the
Cleveland Indians on Thursday, holding them to a run and four hits in six
innings.
Moseley is 0-1 lifetime against the Jays with a 2.25 ERA in three games (one
start).
The Jays have won four of their seven games with the Yanks this season after
losing 12 of the 18 matchups between the clubs a year ago.
<< Rays, Twins resume four-game set at the Trop
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Tampa Bay Rays try to move into sole possession of
first place in the American League East this evening when they continue their
four-game series with the Minnesota Twins at Tropicana Field.
Tampa Bay is now ti
<< Nats seek to extend strong play in test with Diamondbacks
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - After getting their current West Coast trip off to a
successful start, the Washington Nationals will try to maintain their strong
play of late when the club continues a four-game series with the Arizona
Diamondbacks tonight a
<< A's shoot for another win over KC
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Oakland Athletics try to beat the Kansas City Royals
for the sixth straight time this evening when the two ballclubs continue their
three-game series at the Coliseum.
Trevor Cahill was absolutely brilliant for t
<< Dodgers hope to get lift from Lilly versus Padres
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) -- With their backs squarely against the wall, the Los
Angeles Dodgers hope to receive an immediate boost from one of their new
acquisitions in tonight's showdown with the visiting San Diego Padres.
The two-time defending Na
<< Boston's Beckett takes Fenway mound vs. Tribe
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Josh Beckett returns to the hill at Fenway Park for the
first time in nearly three months this evening when the Boston Red Sox
continue their four-game series with the Cleveland Indians.
Beckett has made two st
Braves vie for more home success against road-challenged Mets >>
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - A return home for the National League East-leading Atlanta
Braves was enough to get their offense back on track. For the visiting New
York Mets, not so much.
Atlanta hopes to pick up its second straight victory on its seve
Halladay aims for more Miami magic in Phils-Marlins tilt >>
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Injuries and inconsistency have plagued the two-time
defending National League champion Philadelphia Phillies all season long.
Tonight they return to the location of one of their brightest points of this
year.
Roy Hallada
Cubs rookie to face potent Brewers offense in debut >>
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Chicago Cubs' Thomas Diamond has waited a long time to
pitch in the major leagues. Luck might not be on his side tonight, given how
the Milwaukee Brewers swung the bats on Monday.
Diamond will make his major league deb
Report: Favre set to retire >>
Minneapolis, MN (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Brett Favre has reportedly decided to
retire for a third time.
According to the Minneapolis Star-Tribune, the future Hall of Fame quarterback
has informed Minnesota Vikings officials that he won't
Wolves waive Delonte West >>
Minneapolis, MN (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Minnesota Timberwolves have waived
guard Delonte West, who had just been acquired from Cleveland in a trade last
week.
West played the past 2 1/2 seasons with Cleveland and last year averaged 8.
Who Makes the Sportsbook Betting Lines?
Las Vegas Sports Consultants (LVSC) is the world’s premier oddsmaking company and the most respected authority on making the lines. Mike Seba is a Senior Oddsmaker at LVSC and has been making lines for the last six years. In our extended interview, Seba explained that there are 4-5 oddsmakers assigned to make lines for each of the major sports (pro & college football and basketball; MLB, NHL, boxing, golf). Each of these oddsmakers bring unique opinions, strengths and weaknesses to the process. Oddsmakers at LVSC are professional sports junkies who love what they do and would probably do it for nothing if you asked them, but they do get paid for it. By necessity their approach is very research-oriented and concise, since with millions of dollars at risk there is little margin for error.
“You either have a passion for it or you don’t,” Seba said.
“The #1 thing for us is to make a line for each game that creates good two-way action. We do this by drawing from past experiences and applying them to current situations. People think it’s much more complicated, but it’s not. “
What are the Football Betting Lines Trying to Accomplish?
There is a common misconception that point spreads represent the oddsmakers’ prediction of how many points the favorite will win by. That is not the case at all – their intent is NOT to evenly split the ATS result between the teams; rather, their goal is to attract equal betting action on both sides. Stated another way, they want to create a line that half the people find appealing to bet one way while the other half find it appealing to bet the other way (known as ‘dividing the action’).
Divided action means the sportsbook is guaranteed a profit on the game because of the fee charged to the bettor (called juice or vig – typically $11 bet to win $10).
How the Opening Line Is Made
The opening line is the first line created by the oddsmakers, which is then sent out to sportsbooks. Of course there is an entire method to the madness on how the opening line is created. Seba explained that it all starts with each oddsmaker creating a line on each game based upon their own personal approach. This usually includes having up-to-date power ratings on each team.
Power ratings are the oddsmaker’s value of each team and are used as a guide to calculate a "preliminary" pointspread on an upcoming game. The power ratings are adjusted after each game a team plays. Examples of non-game factors that would require an adjustment to a team's power rating are key player injuries and player trades.
Once a game’s power rating based pointspread is determined, the oddsmaker will make adjustments to that line after considering each team's most recent games played and previous games played against that opponent. Also, adjustments are made after reading each team’s local newspapers to get a sense of what the coaches & players are thinking going into the game.
Since the oddsmaker’s ultimate goal is equally dividing the sports betting action, public perception and sportsbook betting patterns must be taken into account. For example, the public might have heavy betting interest week after week on a popular college football betting team such as USC. If an oddsmaker comes up with a preliminary line of USC -7, then an adjustment up to -7.5 or -8 would be made in response to the public’s expected USC bias.
The last step in the line-making process for each oddsmaker is taking one final look to determine whether or not the line "feels right." This is where common sense and past experience with how games are bet enters into the picture.
A round-table discussion among the 4-5 oddsmakers involved in making the line for each sport is then conducted and a consensus line is decided upon by the Odds Director before it is released to the sportsbooks. Of the 4-5 oddsmakers, generally the 2 most respected opinions are weighed more heavily by the Odds Director before he decides on the final line.
Once the opening line is released by LVSC, the individual sportsbooks decide if they want to make any adjustments before offering it to the public. Reasons for such adjustments include:
Experts working for the individual books having a strong opinion on the game
Individual books having players who consistently bet with certain tendencies (such as an extreme bias toward favorites or toward a certain popular team like USC)
The purpose of these adjustments, like all line adjustments, is to more equally divide the betting action.
Once betting begins, sportsbooks can adjust the line at any time. In doing so they attempt to make more attractive the team that is getting less action. By moving the line, sportsbooks can influence how the public bets on a particular game.
For example, if the pointspread on a game is 7 and most of the money is coming in on the underdog (taking the +7), sportsbooks will then move the number down to 6 ½ to try and attract money on the favorite.
Moving the line is the oddsmaker's effort to balance betting action, and often times such moves can have a major impact on a bettor’s decision. Oddsmakers can also change the line depending on various event-related factors such as player injuries or weather. Obviously, if the line comes out a week ahead of the event (which is the case in football), there is much that could happen during the week leading up to the event that could affect the line. Oddsmakers have to determine if any changes are necessary and send out an "adjusted line."
“The main objective is that our clients get equal action on both sides,” Seba said. “We’re not trying to pick the team that covers the spread, we’re trying to make it a coin flip, a tough decision (for the bettor). If we’ve done that, we’ve done our job.”
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LaDainian Tomlinson Favorite to be 2007 NFL MVP
With the first NFL preseason game less than two weeks away, it is time to start thinking about football once again at MySportsbook.com. Reigning NFL MVP LaDainian Tomlinson is currently the 5-1 co-favorite to win the award again alongside Super Bowl MVP Peyton Manning.
This shouldn’t be a surprise to anyone after his all out assault on the record books last season. For those suffering from amnesia or were under a rock last football season, all L.T. did last season was set the NFL record for rushing touchdowns (28), total touchdowns (31) and total points scored (186) to go along with his 1815 rushing yards and 508 receiving yards. At 6-1, Tom Brady is next in line which isn’t surprising considering all of the firepower the Pats added over the off-season. With the addition of Randy Moss, Donte Stallworth and Wes Welker; it would be quite difficult for Brady’s numbers not to improve from last years 3529 yards and 24 touchdowns. There appears to be some decent value in Drew Bees at 10-1 considering he probably would have won the award last year if it wasn’t for L.T.’s record breaking season.
There is no reason to think the Saints will come back to earth this season and playing in a weak NFC, they should have as good a shot as any to represent the NFC in the Super Bowl. At 15-1, Donovan McNabb could also be worth a look. Remember, many felt he was the MVP of the first half of the season before going down with a season ending injury. Reportedly, he is in great shape and well ahead of schedule to return to form. Also, he could have some added motivation to put up big numbers this season with the Eagles using their first pick in the draft on McNabb’s future successor Kevin Kolb.
Be sure to log on to MySportsbook.com to check out the complete odds for NFL MVP as well as all of the new football related futures. With the popularity of NFL futures, these betting lines will be sure to change as the money comes in; get the early sports lines now.
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